Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiCA-07 primary: Who will advance?·Doris Matsui·2%(-96%)CA-33 primary: Who will advance?·Tom Herman·1%(-95%)CA-27 House winner?·Democratic party·93.9%(+92.9%)California Insurance Commissioner primary: who will advance?·Ben Allen·4%(-92%)MT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Sam Forstag wins·99%(+90%)CA-32 primary: first place·Brad Sherman·4%(-89%)CA-21 primary: first place·Jim Costa·2%(-88%)CA-36 primary: Who will advance?·Melissa Toomim·0.4%(-87.6%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·3%(-84%)CA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·4%(-83%)CA-23 primary: Who will advance?·Tessa Lynn Hodge·4.3%(-80.7%)CA-10 primary: Who will advance?·Katherine Piccinini·15%(-79.3%)Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?·Oh Se-hoon·99.2%(+79.2%)CA-03 primary: first place·Ami Bera·6%(-79%)CA-39 House winner?·Democratic party·3%(-77%)

Live election odds and prediction markets for 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential races

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races by state

8147 races
208Dem
19 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep208
41
153
14
19
38
125
45

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (41)
IL-08
92-5
CA-14
92-5
CA-27
94-6
GA-02
94-6
TX-07
93-4
SC-06
92-3
VA-07
91-1
MN-05
90-0
FL-20
94-4
WI-02
92-2
WA-09
92-2
TX-30
90-0
HI-02
95-5
NY-05
95-5
CA-01
94-3
CO-02
91-0
GA-04
96-4
CA-02
96-4
CA-47
94-3
WA-10
92-0
IL-13
93-1
OR-06
95-2
CA-15
95-2
NC-04
93-0
HI-01
93-0
CA-04
95-2
NY-12
97-3
MA-02
94-0
CA-24
97-3
NJ-12
94-0
GA-05
95-0
NY-20
95-0
WI-04
96-1
ME-01
96-0
CA-34
97-1
IL-02
96-0
VT-01
97-0
MA-05
97-0
CA-12
98-0
NY-13
98-0
CA-11
100-0
Likely D (153)
FL-01
0-25
WA-03
76-22
NY-04
80-22
NE-02
78-20
NJ-07
80-21
AZ-06
78-19
VA-02
79-19
NV-03
79-18
CA-48
81-18
MI-07
80-16
NY-19
80-15
CA-21
82-15
FL-23
81-12
AL-07
84-14
CA-45
85-13
CA-13
81-8
IN-01
82-9
NH-01
84-10
NJ-05
86-11
MI-03
86-11
CA-29
76-0
OR-04
76-0
NJ-06
76-0
OH-13
87-10
CA-36
78-0
NM-03
80-2
MI-08
88-10
CA-16
79-0
CA-52
79-0
CA-03
88-9
MS-02
89-10
AZ-04
88-8
NY-26
80-0
LA-02
88-8
CA-25
81-0
MD-08
81-0
MD-06
81-0
MA-06
81-0
IL-01
81-0
CA-18
81-0
NC-02
83-2
UT-01
89-7
NJ-11
82-0
MD-04
82-0
WA-01
82-0
RI-02
82-0
CO-07
82-0
NY-15
83-1
MN-02
89-7
NM-01
83-0
MO-01
83-0
CO-01
83-0
CA-28
83-0
OR-05
83-0
CA-49
83-0
CA-30
83-0
CT-03
83-0
CT-02
83-0
MA-09
83-0
MI-12
83-0
NY-08
83-0
NY-10
83-0
NY-06
83-0
WA-02
83-0
VA-04
83-0
TX-33
83-0
RI-01
83-0
PA-05
83-0
PA-04
83-0
NJ-10
83-0
NJ-01
83-0
MN-03
83-0
IL-11
83-0
IL-03
83-0
GA-06
83-0
CA-50
83-0
CA-46
83-0
CA-32
83-0
CA-19
83-0
AZ-07
83-0
CA-41
83-0
MN-04
84-0
VA-11
84-0
PA-12
84-0
CA-09
84-0
CA-42
84-0
VA-03
84-0
CA-26
84-0
CA-43
84-0
CA-33
84-0
NY-14
84-0
NY-25
84-0
MA-03
84-0
MD-03
84-0
MA-01
84-0
CT-04
84-0
VA-08
84-0
NY-09
84-0
MA-04
84-0
WA-06
84-0
TX-37
84-0
TX-29
84-0
TX-20
84-0
TX-16
84-0
PA-06
84-0
PA-03
84-0
OR-03
84-0
OH-03
84-0
NY-07
84-0
MD-05
84-0
MA-08
84-0
KY-03
84-0
IL-14
84-0
IL-10
84-0
IL-05
84-0
DE-01
84-0
CT-01
84-0
CA-51
84-0
CA-44
84-0
CA-31
84-0
CA-08
84-0
MI-11
87-3
IL-17
89-5
NJ-08
85-1
CA-10
85-0
MD-02
85-0
CA-06
87-2
WA-07
85-0
PA-02
85-0
OR-01
85-0
OH-11
85-0
NY-16
85-0
NC-12
85-0
MI-06
85-0
MA-07
85-0
IL-09
85-0
IL-07
85-0
GA-13
85-0
FL-24
85-0
CO-06
85-0
CA-38
85-0
CA-35
85-0
CA-07
85-0
AZ-03
85-0
KS-03
89-4
NV-04
86-0
CA-37
86-0
IL-06
86-0
CA-17
87-0
IL-04
87-0
MI-13
88-0
NH-02
89-0
NJ-03
89-0
Lean D (14)
NY-17
61-35
IA-03
61-35
WI-03
63-34
CA-22
63-32
AZ-01
66-30
IA-01
67-30
FL-25
69-31
PA-10
67-28
CO-08
68-28
MI-10
69-27
PA-07
70-26
TX-34
69-25
NM-02
72-22
MD-07
71-0
Tossup (19)
VA-01
47-46
OH-09
52-49
IA-02
47-50
FL-14
46-50
PA-01
44-51
NC-01
51-44
TX-15
43-51
FL-22
53-44
TX-35
42-55
ME-02
41-56
NC-11
56-41
MT-01
40-56
PA-08
55-39
OH-07
38-59
TX-28
51-12
MN-06
15-55
NJ-09
48-0
TX-18
51-0
OH-01
55-1
Lean R (38)
FL-09
38-61
MI-04
36-60
WI-01
37-63
NY-01
37-63
CO-04
32-65
MN-01
32-65
CO-03
31-65
KY-06
31-66
FL-27
30-67
AZ-02
29-67
MN-08
27-70
MO-05
27-71
FL-13
24-72
NY-21
24-72
NC-09
15-63
MD-01
25-74
TX-23
24-73
AL-02
24-73
FL-15
21-72
CO-05
23-74
SC-01
23-74
TX-24
23-74
NJ-02
23-74
WA-05
22-74
FL-26
16-70
NC-07
11-67
TX-17
14-71
FL-02
9-67
AZ-08
8-68
MS-04
0-60
NC-06
9-71
FL-18
7-73
GA-07
6-73
TX-31
6-74
FL-11
5-73
TN-07
4-74
TX-14
4-74
NC-03
4-74
Likely R (125)
PA-17
11-1
NY-22
11-0
VA-05
23-75
OH-15
23-75
MI-01
21-75
NV-02
22-76
FL-16
21-76
TN-05
20-78
TX-32
20-78
MO-02
19-78
FL-07
19-78
TX-09
20-79
WI-08
19-78
NC-14
19-78
OH-10
19-79
NY-02
18-78
VA-06
18-80
GA-12
17-80
AZ-05
17-81
WI-06
17-82
TN-09
15-81
AK-01
14-80
FL-04
15-82
TX-21
15-82
GA-11
15-82
CA-05
15-82
NE-01
10-77
AR-02
15-83
WI-07
14-83
CA-40
15-84
WI-05
14-83
TX-12
14-83
OH-14
14-83
IN-05
14-83
GA-01
14-83
FL-12
14-83
TX-38
14-84
TX-04
6-76
TN-08
6-76
NY-24
14-85
SC-02
13-84
PA-16
13-84
FL-17
13-84
OK-05
5-76
FL-21
4-75
LA-06
12-84
PA-11
4-76
FL-08
12-85
WA-04
12-85
OH-06
12-85
NC-08
12-85
FL-28
12-85
TX-27
5-78
IN-04
9-83
KY-04
12-86
TX-36
3-77
FL-05
12-87
IL-16
12-87
OH-08
11-86
NY-23
11-86
NC-13
11-86
TX-06
3-78
TX-25
2-77
NY-11
10-86
AL-05
10-86
OH-12
10-87
UT-03
10-87
TX-10
6-83
NC-05
0-78
SC-05
2-80
TX-26
1-79
TX-22
10-88
MI-05
3-81
IL-12
9-88
IN-02
10-89
TX-05
1-80
LA-04
1-80
CA-23
9-89
TX-02
8-88
OH-05
0-80
FL-19
0-80
UT-02
7-87
MO-03
1-81
OK-01
4-84
MI-09
0-81
LA-03
0-81
LA-01
0-81
AL-06
0-81
OH-02
2-83
KS-04
5-86
ND-01
7-89
MN-07
0-82
ID-02
1-83
TX-03
7-89
TX-13
0-82
PA-09
0-82
IN-06
0-82
AL-03
0-82
FL-06
1-83
MO-07
2-84
IA-04
0-83
TN-06
0-83
MO-06
0-83
IN-03
0-83
GA-03
0-83
AL-04
0-83
MO-08
1-84
OK-03
0-84
OK-02
0-84
OK-04
0-84
TX-19
0-84
TX-11
0-84
TN-02
0-84
PA-14
0-84
PA-13
0-84
OH-04
0-84
IL-15
0-84
GA-08
0-84
AR-04
0-84
KS-02
3-87
MS-01
0-85
MI-02
0-85
MO-04
0-86
WV-01
1-88
IN-08
0-88
Safe R (45)
NV-01
1-1
NC-10
3-2
CT-05
2-0
NY-03
2-0
FL-03
3-0
CA-39
3-0
VA-10
4-0
WA-08
4-0
IN-07
7-1
FL-10
7-0
NY-18
7-0
GA-10
7-91
IN-09
7-91
LA-05
7-91
AZ-09
6-91
MT-02
6-92
SD-01
7-93
TX-08
5-92
GA-14
5-93
GA-09
4-93
UT-04
4-93
KY-02
5-95
SC-04
2-91
KY-01
5-94
VA-09
0-90
SC-07
0-90
NJ-04
0-90
KS-01
0-91
NE-03
3-94
WV-02
1-92
TN-04
3-94
CA-20
0-92
AL-01
0-92
AR-01
3-95
PA-15
0-93
OR-02
0-93
AR-03
2-95
TX-01
3-96
MS-03
0-94
SC-03
2-96
TN-01
0-94
TN-03
0-95
KY-05
0-95
ID-01
0-95
WY-01
2-98