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Powered by KalshiWho will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·14%(-74%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Brett Hueffmeier·6%(-66%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·66%(+51%)How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?·Above 8·64%(+41%)Who will AOC endorse?·Darializa Avila Chevalier·36%(-41%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Peter Thiel·79%(+38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 65·75%(+36%)French presidential election: who will advance?·Marine Le Pen·84%(+35%)When will Jay Clayton be sworn in?·Before Aug 5, 2026·87%(+34%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·John Thune·51%(-23%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Oct 1, 2026·40%(-22%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 25·8%(-22%)Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?·Before Nov 3, 2026·37%(+21%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Chuck Gray·48%(-21%)

Election odds and prediction markets for 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential races

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
225Dem
7 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep203
186
27
12
7
16
54
133

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (178)
CA-26
5
NM-03
91-10
MI-03
91-10
IN-01
90-9
NJ-09
92-10
NV-01
91-9
OR-05
92-10
CA-25
91-9
MD-06
93-10
CA-13
92-9
NJ-03
93-10
OH-13
91-8
CA-21
92-8
IL-08
94-10
IL-01
91-7
AZ-04
92-7
NJ-05
92-7
CA-08
91-6
KS-03
91-6
PA-17
92-6
FL-23
94-9
CA-35
98-12
UT-01
93-7
MS-02
93-7
IL-11
93-7
NY-22
94-8
CA-27
94-7
CA-28
90-4
NY-18
95-8
OR-01
91-4
NH-02
95-8
MD-05
92-5
MD-02
95-8
TX-07
95-7
CA-39
92-5
CA-36
93-5
GA-06
92-5
MA-06
94-6
MI-06
92-4
NY-16
91-3
PA-04
94-6
IL-14
94-6
NY-09
92-4
DE-01
91-3
MN-04
94-6
OH-11
95-6
KY-03
94-6
MD-04
92-3
CA-38
94-5
NJ-12
96-7
NY-20
95-6
CA-16
94-5
HI-02
95-6
CA-09
93-3
IL-13
97-7
WA-08
93-4
IN-07
94-4
CA-03
95-5
PA-05
93-3
CA-15
95-5
CA-30
95-5
IL-09
95-5
MO-01
94-4
PA-06
91-1
CA-33
94-3
NM-01
95-5
CA-41
94-3
MI-11
95-5
MN-02
95-5
AZ-07
95-5
SC-06
95-4
VA-10
95-5
CO-07
97-6
IL-04
95-4
OR-04
97-6
VA-07
96-5
CT-02
96-5
CT-01
94-3
CO-01
97-6
AL-07
96-5
CA-47
94-3
CA-50
95-3
CO-06
96-5
RI-02
96-4
TX-29
96-4
NY-05
97-6
GA-13
96-4
AZ-03
93-1
TX-20
96-4
FL-10
95-3
FL-20
96-4
NY-25
96-4
PA-12
96-4
CO-02
96-4
IL-06
93-1
GA-02
96-4
LA-02
96-4
MD-07
96-4
NY-08
96-4
MA-05
97-4
NJ-01
95-2
ME-01
96-3
MI-12
98-5
CA-01
97-4
CA-32
96-3
GA-04
98-5
VA-03
95-2
VA-08
97-4
WI-02
95-2
CT-04
97-4
MD-03
98-5
NJ-11
97-4
WA-06
97-4
NY-26
98-5
RI-01
97-4
CA-31
96-3
MA-08
97-4
WA-01
97-3
IL-02
97-4
MA-04
98-4
MA-09
98-4
TX-16
98-4
CA-10
96-2
CA-42
97-4
MD-08
97-3
NY-15
97-3
NC-02
97-3
CA-18
98-4
CA-43
97-3
HI-01
97-3
IL-05
97-3
NJ-10
98-4
NY-13
98-4
OR-06
97-3
WA-07
98-4
MI-13
98-4
NC-12
95-1
TX-37
97-3
CA-06
95-1
IL-10
97-3
CA-24
98-3
CA-02
96-1
NJ-06
97-2
OR-03
97-3
CA-51
98-3
IL-03
98-3
MN-05
99-4
NJ-08
96-2
CA-19
96-1
CA-17
99-4
CT-03
96-2
MA-02
98-3
FL-24
98-3
OH-03
99-4
NC-04
99-4
NY-10
99-4
WA-02
99-4
TX-30
97-2
WA-10
98-2
NY-06
98-3
VT-01
99-3
PA-02
99-3
TX-33
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
CA-44
97-1
MA-03
98-1
NY-12
99-3
CA-49
98-1
IL-07
97-0
TX-18
99-2
NY-07
98-1
GA-05
99-1
MA-01
99-2
NY-14
99-1
MN-03
99-1
MA-07
99-0
PA-03
99-0
Likely D (27)
CO-08
75-26
AZ-01
75-25
TX-34
82-29
PA-10
76-18
CA-22
80-20
AZ-06
83-20
NJ-07
84-21
VA-02
81-18
WA-03
84-21
TX-28
83-17
NY-04
85-14
NE-02
87-15
NY-19
87-15
NV-03
87-14
NH-01
89-16
NY-03
89-16
CA-52
79-5
CT-05
78-3
CA-48
88-12
NV-04
87-11
NM-02
88-12
OH-01
88-11
CA-45
89-11
CA-46
87-9
MI-08
88-10
IL-17
89-5
WA-09
88-2
Lean D (12)
PA-08
62-43
FL-14
62-41
MI-07
60-39
WI-03
63-35
FL-25
63-34
IA-03
66-37
NY-17
70-37
MI-10
70-36
PA-07
71-33
IA-01
74-28
OH-09
71-23
VA-04
64-3
Tossup (7)
OH-07
51-50
VA-01
54-53
NC-11
52-48
NC-01
56-50
TX-35
48-56
PA-01
46-56
TX-15
59-44
Lean R (16)
IA-02
42-61
FL-22
37-62
MI-04
39-64
MT-01
40-65
ME-02
39-68
FL-07
35-65
WI-01
34-67
AZ-02
32-69
CO-05
33-70
CO-04
31-69
AL-02
28-70
CO-03
26-69
KY-06
27-73
TX-23
24-71
FL-13
24-74
AK-01
8-73
Likely R (54)
NY-01
26-76
SC-01
26-76
MN-01
24-76
FL-09
24-79
OH-15
21-76
MO-02
23-81
FL-27
20-81
TX-09
20-81
TX-32
21-82
NC-09
17-80
NV-02
19-83
FL-16
16-81
NY-21
17-83
FL-04
16-84
MN-08
16-84
AZ-08
17-86
WA-05
14-83
WI-08
16-85
NC-07
14-84
TN-05
14-84
VA-05
19-89
GA-12
14-85
FL-11
14-86
FL-12
13-85
NJ-02
15-87
NC-14
12-84
MN-06
14-87
MO-05
14-87
AR-02
14-88
IN-05
14-88
MI-01
13-87
NC-13
11-86
TN-09
11-86
TX-24
13-88
FL-15
11-87
GA-01
12-88
GA-07
12-88
MD-01
12-88
NE-01
11-87
NY-02
12-88
NC-06
11-87
OH-10
11-87
FL-28
11-88
SC-02
11-88
FL-08
11-89
OH-08
11-89
OK-05
11-89
TX-26
11-89
OK-01
9-88
PA-16
9-88
NC-03
9-88
NC-08
10-89
TX-38
9-88
TN-08
8-88
Safe R (132)
AR-03
20-96
AZ-05
14-90
TX-10
12-90
TX-31
12-90
FL-26
11-90
WI-05
11-92
TX-02
11-92
IL-16
11-92
MO-04
10-91
NY-23
9-90
NY-24
10-91
TX-21
10-90
KS-02
10-91
TX-22
10-91
FL-21
9-91
WA-04
10-91
CA-05
9-91
OH-12
10-92
TX-17
10-91
CA-23
10-92
TX-27
10-92
WI-07
9-92
TX-25
10-92
IA-04
9-92
NC-10
8-91
TX-12
9-92
IN-04
9-92
LA-06
10-93
IN-02
8-92
NC-05
7-91
OH-05
9-93
PA-11
8-92
VA-06
8-92
MI-05
10-93
FL-02
10-93
GA-08
9-93
TX-36
8-92
FL-19
8-93
TX-04
9-94
PA-09
10-94
FL-18
6-90
TX-03
7-92
FL-05
8-93
LA-05
10-95
AL-05
7-92
FL-01
7-92
KS-04
8-93
AZ-09
6-91
MN-07
8-94
PA-15
7-93
TX-05
9-95
TX-11
9-95
FL-17
8-93
TN-07
7-93
WI-06
5-91
IL-12
7-93
OH-06
7-93
SC-07
7-93
SC-05
7-93
IN-09
7-93
NY-11
7-93
FL-03
7-93
OH-14
7-93
GA-11
7-94
KY-04
6-93
GA-10
7-94
FL-06
6-94
WV-01
6-94
SC-04
6-93
KS-01
6-94
TN-04
7-95
ID-02
6-94
UT-02
7-95
GA-03
6-94
MO-03
6-94
UT-04
7-96
LA-04
6-95
ND-01
7-96
KY-01
6-95
MT-02
6-94
OH-04
6-95
TX-14
5-94
OH-02
3-92
TX-06
6-95
KY-02
6-95
IL-15
5-94
TN-03
4-94
GA-14
6-96
MI-09
7-96
AR-04
4-94
SD-01
5-95
VA-09
7-97
AL-06
5-96
PA-13
5-96
PA-14
5-96
TN-06
5-96
UT-03
5-95
AL-04
6-97
NJ-04
5-95
TN-02
5-96
TX-01
4-95
TX-13
5-96
GA-09
4-96
IN-06
5-97
TX-08
4-95
CA-20
5-96
IN-08
5-96
LA-01
5-96
WV-02
4-96
LA-03
5-97
OK-02
4-96
AL-03
3-96
MS-01
4-96
MO-06
6-98
OK-04
4-96
ID-01
4-96
AL-01
3-96
MS-04
3-96
IN-03
4-97
MI-02
2-95
OR-02
4-97
OK-03
5-98
TX-19
2-95
SC-03
5-98
TN-01
3-97
MO-07
5-98
KY-05
4-98
MS-03
2-96
WY-01
2-96
AR-01
3-97
MO-08
3-98
NE-03
3-99